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2011 - Best Picture IV.

(the ones that could actually win)

  1. The Artist
      A critically acclaimed my case.
  2. The Descendants
      The Academy could easily go for their beloved Clooney-Payne duo.
  3. Extremely Close and Incredibly Loud
      Very Oscary material…Daldry’s year ?
  4. War Horse
      On paper, THE most obvious pick.
  5. Hugo
      It has the reviews…but it was expensive, so it has to make money, too !
  6. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
      Could Fincher pull a ‘Departed’ ? After last year ? YES
  7. Midnight in Paris
      Could it go all the way ? I’m starting to think it MIGHT.
  8. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II
      A BP-nod could happen, BD will be the dealbreaker here.
  9. Moneyball
      It is definitely a solid contender (reviews, BO, star power).
  10. The Tree of Life
      The new rule helps the “name” directors”, even if their films faded.

(the ones that could have viable shots at that crucial 5% AND a nod, but not enough for a win)

  1. The Help
      It needs some serious girlpower to pull off that 5% No1.
  2. Young Adult
      The Academy loves Reitman’s dramedies, but this one might be too divisive.
  3. We bought a Zoo
      Early whispers suggest it might be Crowe’s big Oscar-comeback.
  4. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
      Great early word and ensemble, but the competition is tough.
  5. My Week with Marilyn
      Better-than-expected reviews + Weinsteins = possible bp-nod
  6. A Dangerous method
      Good to great reviews, stellar performances, Oscary material, Cronenberg…
  7. Coriolanus
      I could see this one break out in a big way.
  8. The Ides of March
      The new rule helps the “name” directors”...
  9. J. Edgar
  10. Carnage

    (the potential not-so-surprising surprises)

  11. Shame
      One of the best films of 2011…but it is probably not for the Academy.
  12. We need to talk about Kevin
      If there is any justice, this will emerge as a serious contender.
  13. In the Land of Blood and Honey
      Big question mark…could she do it ?
  14. Bridesmaids
      If ‘The Hangover’ didn’t make it with THAT BO and GG bp-victory…
  15. Beginners
      Great reviews and performances but probably too “light” and early, maybe GG ?
  16. 50 / 50
  17. Jane Eyre
      Focus started campaigning, it is remarkably Oscary, so it COULD have a comeback.
  18. The Iron Lady
      As, always…all about Streep…the film doesn’t seem strong enough.
  19. Take Shelter
      Oh, if only…LOVED this one, but probably too small for the Academy.
  20. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
      Too “genre” for the main categories.

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