tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6653256068264800678.post16112578511379317..comments2023-06-06T06:52:03.896-07:00Comments on Awards Corner: What do I (think I) know about the Best Picture Race post-PGA ?Phantomhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03111345019507829615noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6653256068264800678.post-82364912619736000492012-01-04T07:11:07.460-08:002012-01-04T07:11:07.460-08:00It will probably get the SAG. I don't see it ...It will probably get the SAG. I don't see it getting a DGA nod. Not sure about the PGA or WGA. Adapted screenplay competition this year is stiff.Cinesnatchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03848699962694519466noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6653256068264800678.post-3860431274474942542012-01-03T23:07:55.393-08:002012-01-03T23:07:55.393-08:00I didn't know the PGA used the same voting sys...I didn't know the PGA used the same voting system, if that's the case, my 'on-paper-locks' section suddenly looks MUCH stronger.<br /><br />You're right, I shouldn't have put 'Dragon Tattoo' in the frontrunners-section, it's just a hunch. WGA/DGA will either confirm it or make it disappear forever, it's only a few more days until we know for sure.<br /><br />I thought a 'Potential Shockers' section should be made, because I am still not 100% sure that the new voting system won't favor Academy-fave directors. Sure, these films are not in consideration generally, but even if these don't get any No2s, 3s, 4s etc., are we really THAT sure that the likes of Eastwood, Reitman, Daldry do NOT have the passionate fanbases that might cover that 5% No1 ? <br /><br />By the way, I'm starting to think 'The Help' might pull off the SAG-Ensemble AND maybe even the PGA 'Little Miss Sunshine/Driving Miss Daisy' style (neither received Oscar-bd nods in the end BUT won the PGA). What do you think about that ? WGA/DGA chances ? I think it will get a WGA-nod but clearly won't stand a chance against The Descendants and Moneyball, and seeing the very strong Guild-showing so far, I think that DGA doesn't sound that far fetched anymore, either. Thoughts ?Phantomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03111345019507829615noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6653256068264800678.post-69480224832155306732012-01-03T18:10:36.506-08:002012-01-03T18:10:36.506-08:00I though PGA uses the same balloting system as the...I though PGA uses the same balloting system as the new AMPAS rule for BP (only they keep going until they have ten slots filled). If they do, wouldn't the BP nominees come right from the PGA list minus one, two or three of the movies? It seems like there are going to be eight nominees this year (the PGA list minus Dragon Tattoo and Ides of March). <br /><br />I dont' see Dragon Tattoo as a front-runner, though. It's more like a potential surprise. And, the Potential Shockers are not going to happen ... ever. At this point, Drive and Tinker would be more shocking than surprising.Cinesnatchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03848699962694519466noreply@blogger.com